No Arizona
W-L: ( 9-22) PR = 92.8760Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 59-77 1108 H Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 73-78 1111 A EMBRI **-59 1115 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 75-90 1119 H Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 74-80 1121 H Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 76-87 1126 H No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 60-79 1128 H Creighton BE (15-15, 95.0) 62-86 1203 H St Thomas MN SM (11-16, 93.4) 66-74 1206 H So Dakota St SM (25- 7, 96.2) 72-88 1218 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 77-56 1220 A UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 71-68 101 A Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 81-72 103 H Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 65-82 108 A Weber St BS ( 9-21, 92.8) 71-58 110 H Idaho St BS (18-11, 94.2) 46-59 115 H Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 59-78 117 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 80-68 119 H Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 72-76 124 H No Colorado BS (20-11, 94.2) 59-72 129 H Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 87-93 131 H Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 71-94 205 H Idaho St BS (18-11, 94.2) 70-79 207 A Weber St BS ( 9-21, 92.8) 73-65 212 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 88-80 214 A Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 60-55 221 H No Colorado BS (20-11, 94.2) 53-81 226 H Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 57-85 228 H Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 61-81 302 H Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 48-68 307 H Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 60-61
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H New Mexico 59-77 -18 -2 -0.23
1108 H Utah Tech 73-78 -5 0 - -2.33
1115 H UC Irvine 75-90 -15 -2 -0.26
1119 H Pepperdine 74-80 -6 -2 -0.39
1121 H Arizona 76-87 -11 -2 -0.22
1126 H No Iowa 60-79 -19 -1 -0.62
1128 H Creighton 62-86 -24 -2 0.00
1203 H St Thomas MN 66-74 -8 0 -1.51
1206 H So Dakota St 72-88 -16 -3 0.00
1218 A Northridge 77-56 21 0 1.68
1220 A UC San Diego 71-68 3 -2 + 3.63
101 A Montana 81-72 9 0 + 2.01
103 H Montana St 65-82 -17 -2 0.00
108 A Weber St 71-58 13 0 1.96
110 H Idaho St 46-59 -13 -1 -0.71
115 H Sacra St 59-78 -19 0 -1.52
117 A Portland St 80-68 12 1 1.16
119 H Montana 72-76 -4 0 - -2.01
124 H No Colorado 59-72 -13 -1 -0.71
129 H Ea Wash 87-93 -6 0 -1.57
131 H Idaho 71-94 -23 -2 0.00
205 H Idaho St 70-79 -9 -1 -0.71
207 A Weber St 73-65 8 0 1.96
212 A Portland St 88-80 8 1 1.16
214 A Sacra St 60-55 5 -1 + 2.50
221 H No Colorado 53-81 -28 -1 -0.71
226 H Idaho 57-85 -28 -2 0.00
228 H Ea Wash 61-81 -20 0 -1.57
302 H Montana St 48-68 -20 -2 0.00
307 H Montana 60-61 -1 0 -1.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 H Utah Tech 73-78 -5 0 - -2.33 119 H Montana 72-76 -4 0 - -2.01 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 A UC San Diego 71-68 3 -2 + 3.63 101 A Montana 81-72 9 0 + 2.01 214 A Sacra St 60-55 5 -1 + 2.50 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 59-77 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 1.01 -2.66
3 H Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 73-78 -7.35 3.61 -0.01 1.01 -3.72
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 75-90 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.01 -2.67
3 H Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 74-80 -5.40 5.56 -0.01 1.01 -2.74
3 H Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 76-87 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 1.01 -2.65
3 H No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 60-79 -5.63 5.33 -0.01 1.01 -2.85
3 H Creighton (15-15, 95.0) 62-86 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 1.01 -2.47
3 H St Thomas MN (11-16, 93.4) 66-74 -6.53 4.43 -0.01 1.01 -3.31
3 H So Dakota St (25- 7, 96.2) 72-88 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 1.01 -1.87
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 77-56 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.01 7.32
3 A UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 71-68 -5.41 5.55 0.01 1.01 11.26
3 A Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 81-72 -7.02 3.94 0.01 1.01 7.98
3 H Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 65-82 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.01 -2.41
3 A Weber St ( 9-21, 92.8) 71-58 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.01 7.88
3 H Idaho St (18-11, 94.2) 46-59 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 H Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 59-78 -6.53 4.43 -0.01 1.01 -3.31
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 80-68 -7.87 3.09 0.01 1.01 6.27
3 H Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 72-76 -7.02 3.94 -0.01 1.01 -3.56
3 H No Colorado (20-11, 94.2) 59-72 -5.73 5.23 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 H Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 87-93 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 H Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 71-94 -4.96 6.00 -0.01 1.01 -2.52
3 H Idaho St (18-11, 94.2) 70-79 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 A Weber St ( 9-21, 92.8) 73-65 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.01 7.88
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 88-80 -7.87 3.09 0.01 1.01 6.27
3 A Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 60-55 -6.53 4.43 0.01 1.01 8.98
3 H No Colorado (20-11, 94.2) 53-81 -5.73 5.23 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 H Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 57-85 -4.96 6.00 -0.01 1.01 -2.52
3 H Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 61-81 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 H Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 48-68 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.01 -2.41
3 H Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 60-61 -7.02 3.94 -0.01 1.01 -3.56
------
0.35
|
winning pts = 63.8383 losing points = -63.4879
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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